Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6%) and 0-2 (5.84%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Melbourne City |
29.61% (![]() | 21.54% (![]() | 48.85% (![]() |
Both teams to score 67.92% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.71% (![]() | 31.29% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.27% (![]() | 52.73% (![]() |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.43% (![]() | 21.57% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.35% (![]() | 54.65% (![]() |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.59% (![]() | 13.4% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.65% (![]() | 40.34% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Melbourne City |
2-1 @ 6.84% (![]() 1-0 @ 4.44% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.51% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.5% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.4% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.35% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.34% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 0.9% ( ![]() Other @ 2.6% Total : 29.61% | 1-1 @ 8.91% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.87% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.89% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.35% ( ![]() Other @ 0.51% Total : 21.54% | 1-2 @ 8.95% (![]() 1-3 @ 6% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.84% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 5.81% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.6% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.91% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.01% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.31% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.96% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.21% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 3.13% Total : 48.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 41 |
2 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 35 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 33 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 33 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 29 |
8 | Macarthur | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 21 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 19 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 45 | -32 | 11 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 8 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |