Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.42%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Newcastle Jets in this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Macarthur |
52.44% ( -0.1) | 21.94% ( 0.01) | 25.62% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 62.82% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.51% ( 0.04) | 36.49% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.37% ( 0.04) | 58.63% ( -0.05) |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.89% ( -0.02) | 14.11% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.26% ( -0.04) | 41.74% ( 0.03) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.14% ( 0.09) | 26.86% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.83% ( 0.12) | 62.17% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.1% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.01% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 3.63% Total : 52.44% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.94% | 1-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.98% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.13% Total : 25.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
7 | Macarthur | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 9 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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