Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
32.96% ( 0.36) | 24.83% ( 0.13) | 42.21% ( -0.48) |
Both teams to score 57.61% ( -0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.46% ( -0.46) | 45.54% ( 0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.14% ( -0.44) | 67.86% ( 0.44) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.46% ( 0) | 26.54% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.26% ( -0) | 61.74% ( 0) |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.41% ( -0.42) | 21.59% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.32% ( -0.64) | 54.68% ( 0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
2-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 32.96% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.83% | 1-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.56% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.51% Total : 42.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
7 | Macarthur | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 9 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |