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Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League | Gameweek 20
Mar 11, 2023 at 8.45am UK
McDonald Jones Stadium
Adelaide United

Newcastle Jets
2 - 4
Adelaide United

Hoffman (16'), Thurgate (45+3')
Hoffman (23'), Grozos (45+2'), Jurman (45'), Aquilina (73'), Al-Taay (86')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Goodwin (12'), Clough (14'), Jovanovic (44'), Irankunda (65')
Halloran (29'), Warland (71'), Gauci (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Adelaide United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions
Last Game: Wellington 2-1 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, March 4 at 2am in Australian A-League

Adelaide United

All competitions
Last Game: Adelaide United 4-2 Melbourne City
Friday, March 3 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

We said: Newcastle Jets 0-2 Adelaide United

 Newcastle Jets might boast the home advantage this weekend, but it will be the visitors most people consider the favourites. Adelaide United are enjoying a fantastic run of form right now, and fresh after comfortably defeating the league leaders, this should be another chance for them to pick up three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.53%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle JetsDrawAdelaide United
42.09% (-0.467 -0.47) 23.05% (-0.064 -0.06) 34.86% (0.52999999999999 0.53)
Both teams to score 64.71% (0.40299999999999 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.51% (0.465 0.46)36.49% (-0.465 -0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.36% (0.506 0.51)58.63% (-0.507 -0.51)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)17.87% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.36% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)48.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.79% (0.49000000000001 0.49)21.21% (-0.491 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.9% (0.757 0.76)54.09% (-0.758 -0.76)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Jets 42.09%
    Adelaide United 34.86%
    Draw 23.05%
Newcastle JetsDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 8.71% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-0 @ 6.53% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-0 @ 5.62% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-1 @ 5% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.88% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.23% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.67% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 42.09%
1-1 @ 10.12% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6.76% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 3.79% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-3 @ 2.01% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.05%
1-2 @ 7.85% (0.054 0.05)
0-1 @ 5.88% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.56% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.06% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
2-3 @ 3.49% (0.075 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.36% (0.051 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.57% (0.057 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.35% (0.048 0.05)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 34.86%

How you voted: Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide United

Newcastle Jets
17.4%
Draw
30.4%
Adelaide United
52.2%
23
Head to Head
Dec 27, 2022 9.15am
Adelaide United
0-1
Newcastle Jets

Lopez (28')
Sotirio (25')
Mar 13, 2022 8.15am
Adelaide United
2-1
Newcastle Jets
Blackwood (3'), Toure (88')
Kitto (15'), Juande (37'), Irankunda (78'), Toure (89')
Thurgate (65')
Jan 30, 2022 7.45am
Newcastle Jets
1-2
Adelaide United
Mikeltadze (59')
Thurgate (87')
Irankunda (88'), Ibusuki (90+1')
Juande (15'), Lopez (22'), Tratt (28'), Toure (29'), Ibusuki (80'), D'Arrigo (90+4')
Mar 21, 2021 7.40am
Newcastle Jets
1-4
Adelaide United
Stamatelopoulos (69')
Ugarkovic (35'), Krasniqi (49'), Boogaard (51'), Najjarine (71')
Yengi (5'), Mauk (11'), Halloran (40'), Goodwin (43' pen.)
Yengi (74')
Mar 5, 2021 8.35am
Adelaide United
2-1
Newcastle Jets
D'Arrigo (6'), Goodwin (77')
Halloran (17'), Mauk (81')
O'Toole (22')
Abbas (25')
rhs 2.0
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