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Macarthur
Australian A-League | Gameweek 17
Feb 18, 2023 at 7am UK
Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
Newcastle Jets

Macarthur
0 - 1
Newcastle Jets


Susnjar (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Buhagiar (8')
Ingham (44'), Al-Taay (53'), Duncan (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Newcastle Jets, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Macarthur 2-1 Wellington
Sunday, February 12 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-1 Victory
Sunday, February 12 at 4am in Australian A-League

We said: Macarthur 1-1 Newcastle Jets

Newcastle Jets have stronger form as of late, and that is something that will bring them a lot of momentum into this match. However, the recent win that Macarthur picked up and the fact that the visitors struggle for goals away from home could lead to a draw taking place. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
MacarthurDrawNewcastle Jets
38.98% (0.322 0.32) 24.62% (0.13 0.13) 36.4% (-0.452 -0.45)
Both teams to score 59.11% (-0.513 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.1% (-0.647 -0.65)43.9% (0.648 0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.71% (-0.637 -0.64)66.29% (0.637 0.64)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.56% (-0.125 -0.13)22.44% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.02% (-0.187 -0.19)55.98% (0.187 0.19)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.21% (-0.536 -0.54)23.79% (0.537 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.05% (-0.776 -0.78)57.95% (0.776 0.78)
Score Analysis
    Macarthur 38.98%
    Newcastle Jets 36.4%
    Draw 24.61%
MacarthurDrawNewcastle Jets
2-1 @ 8.56% (0.045 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.98% (0.195 0.2)
2-0 @ 5.96% (0.123 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.26% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.97% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 38.98%
1-1 @ 11.45% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.15% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.15 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.61%
1-2 @ 8.23% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-1 @ 7.67% (0.096 0.1)
0-2 @ 5.51% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.94% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.055 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 36.4%

How you voted: Macarthur vs Newcastle Jets

Macarthur
50.0%
Draw
28.6%
Newcastle Jets
21.4%
14
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2023 4am
Macarthur
2-0
Newcastle Jets
Toure (43'), Davila (78')
Millar (34'), M'Mombwa (41'), Kurto (45'), Carter (88')

Timmins (32'), Al-Taay (60')
May 1, 2022 7.05am
Macarthur
0-3
Newcastle Jets

De Silva (3'), Noone (84')
Siatravanis (4'), Yuel (66'), Mikeltadze (73')
Thurgate (34')
Feb 26, 2022 6.05am
Newcastle Jets
2-2
Macarthur
Mikeltadze (32' pen.), Babalj (79')
Hoffman (25'), Ingham (47')
Uskok (21'), Oar (60')
Uskok (12'), Rose (26'), Oar (53'), Ruhs (90+4')
Dec 19, 2021 5.05am
Macarthur
2-1
Newcastle Jets
De Silva (48'), Meredith (84')
Noone (38'), M'Mombwa (45+2'), Uskok (51'), Najjar (78'), Rose (90+1')
Kurto (18')
Apr 18, 2021 9.10am
Macarthur
2-2
Newcastle Jets
M'Mombwa (36'), Puyo (45+2')
Rose (7')
O'Donovan (27' pen.), Ugarkovic (57')
Stamatelopoulos (51'), Krasniqi (83')
rhs 2.0
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