Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
38.98% ( 0.32) | 24.62% ( 0.13) | 36.4% ( -0.45) |
Both teams to score 59.11% ( -0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.1% ( -0.65) | 43.9% ( 0.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.71% ( -0.64) | 66.29% ( 0.64) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.56% ( -0.13) | 22.44% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.02% ( -0.19) | 55.98% ( 0.19) |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.21% ( -0.54) | 23.79% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.05% ( -0.78) | 57.95% ( 0.78) |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.98% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.61% | 1-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.07% Total : 36.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
7 | Macarthur | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 9 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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