Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 55.34%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 23.53% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.44%) and 0-1 (7.19%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
Result | ||
Perth Glory | Draw | Melbourne City |
23.53% | 21.13% | 55.34% |
Both teams to score 63.34% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.24% | 34.76% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.28% | 56.72% |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.5% | 27.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.99% | 63.01% |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.37% | 12.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.23% | 38.77% |
Score Analysis |
Perth Glory | Draw | Melbourne City |
2-1 @ 5.99% 1-0 @ 4.49% 2-0 @ 2.9% 3-2 @ 2.67% 3-1 @ 2.58% 3-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.67% Total : 23.53% | 1-1 @ 9.28% 2-2 @ 6.2% 0-0 @ 3.47% 3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.13% | 1-2 @ 9.6% 0-2 @ 7.44% 0-1 @ 7.19% 1-3 @ 6.62% 0-3 @ 5.13% 2-3 @ 4.27% 1-4 @ 3.42% 0-4 @ 2.65% 2-4 @ 2.21% 1-5 @ 1.42% 0-5 @ 1.1% 3-4 @ 0.95% 2-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.43% Total : 55.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
4 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
5 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
7 | Macarthur | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
8 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 16 | -14 | 1 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 0 |
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