Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 45.16%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sydney FC | Draw | Melbourne City |
30.42% | 24.42% | 45.16% |
Both teams to score 57.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.3% | 44.69% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.94% | 67.06% |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.26% | 27.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.68% | 63.31% |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.08% | 19.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.94% | 52.05% |
Score Analysis |
Sydney FC | Draw | Melbourne City |
2-1 @ 7.33% 1-0 @ 7.08% 2-0 @ 4.54% 3-1 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 2.53% 3-0 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.86% Total : 30.42% | 1-1 @ 11.43% 2-2 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.42% | 1-2 @ 9.22% 0-1 @ 8.92% 0-2 @ 7.19% 1-3 @ 4.96% 0-3 @ 3.87% 2-3 @ 3.18% 1-4 @ 2% 0-4 @ 1.56% 2-4 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.97% Total : 45.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |