Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 50.93%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Perth Glory |
50.93% ( 0.28) | 24.16% ( -0.18) | 24.91% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 54.37% ( 0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.69% ( 0.66) | 47.31% ( -0.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.47% ( 0.61) | 69.53% ( -0.61) |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.41% ( 0.37) | 18.59% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.13% ( 0.61) | 49.87% ( -0.61) |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.79% ( 0.27) | 33.21% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.18% ( 0.29) | 69.82% ( -0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Perth Glory |
1-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.4% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.3% Total : 50.92% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.16% | 0-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 24.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 24 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 24 |
3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 18 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Macarthur | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 18 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 17 |
9 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 15 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 13 |
11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 8 |
12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 7 |
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