Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 51.01%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 0-1 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.