Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 41.47%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 27.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.65%) and 1-2 (7.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.71%), while for a Eldense win it was 1-0 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.