Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 13, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Monza2 - 1Fiorentina
We said: Monza 1-2 Fiorentina
Fiorentina can kickstart their campaign with a win against Serie A's last-placed club, who must be low on confidence. Though the Viola have started to leak goals, they still have enough nous to score more than once, earning them three valuable points in the race for European places. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 54.29%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Monza had a probability of 20.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.71%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Monza win it was 1-0 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Fiorentina |
20.67% ( -0.48) | 25.04% ( 0.31) | 54.29% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 46.68% ( -1.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
