MX23RW : Tuesday, December 3 17:00:20| >> :600:1291651:1291651:
Congo national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 15, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade Alphonse Massamba-Debat
South Africa national football team

Congo
1 - 1
South Africa

Bassouamina (45+3')
Makouta (54'), Ossete (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mokwana (33')
Mobbie (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Congo and South Africa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: South Africa 5-0 Congo
Friday, October 11 at 6pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: South Africa 5-0 Congo
Friday, October 11 at 6pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Congo 1-3 South Africa

Still buoyed by their commanding victory last time out, South Africa will head into this one on a high, and it is hard to bet against them completing a double over Congo.   We fully expect Broos's men to claim a routine win over the hosts and secure safe passage into the AFCON group phase. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 50.55%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Congo had a probability of 23.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.85%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Congo win it was 1-0 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
CongoDrawSouth Africa
23.48% (-0.52 -0.52) 25.97% (-0.328 -0.33) 50.55% (0.84399999999999 0.84)
Both teams to score 47.46% (0.384 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.33% (0.771 0.77)55.67% (-0.774 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.18% (0.625 0.63)76.82% (-0.62899999999999 -0.63)
Congo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.91% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)39.09% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.19% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)75.81% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.92% (0.694 0.69)22.08% (-0.698 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.57% (1.042 1.04)55.43% (-1.045 -1.05)
Score Analysis
    Congo 23.48%
    South Africa 50.55%
    Draw 25.96%
CongoDrawSouth Africa
1-0 @ 8.11% (-0.256 -0.26)
2-1 @ 5.75% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-0 @ 3.81% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-1 @ 1.8% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.36% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.19% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 23.48%
1-1 @ 12.24% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 8.63% (-0.262 -0.26)
2-2 @ 4.34% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 13.03% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-2 @ 9.85% (0.115 0.12)
1-2 @ 9.25% (0.096 0.1)
0-3 @ 4.96% (0.159 0.16)
1-3 @ 4.66% (0.143 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.064 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.87% (0.097 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.76% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 50.55%

How you voted: Congo vs South Africa

Congo
18.2%
Draw
6.1%
South Africa
75.8%
33
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2024 6pm
Group Stage
South Africa
5-0
Congo
Mokoena (12', 27'), Jurry Aubaas (37'), Foster (52'), Rayners (79')
Mokoena (11'), Mokwana (69'), Kwayiba (87')
rhs 2.0
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