Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 15, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade Alphonse Massamba-Debat
Congo1 - 1South Africa
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: South Africa 5-0 Congo
Friday, October 11 at 6pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Friday, October 11 at 6pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Congo | 3 | 3 | 7 |
2 | Angola | 3 | 1 | 5 |
3 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -2 | 2 |
4 | Cameroon | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Last Game: South Africa 5-0 Congo
Friday, October 11 at 6pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Friday, October 11 at 6pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Mali | 3 | 2 | 5 |
2 | South Africa | 3 | 2 | 4 |
3 | Namibia | 3 | -3 | 4 |
4 | Tunisia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
We said: Congo 1-3 South Africa
Still buoyed by their commanding victory last time out, South Africa will head into this one on a high, and it is hard to bet against them completing a double over Congo. We fully expect Broos's men to claim a routine win over the hosts and secure safe passage into the AFCON group phase. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 50.55%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Congo had a probability of 23.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.85%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Congo win it was 1-0 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Congo | Draw | South Africa |
23.48% ( -0.52) | 25.97% ( -0.33) | 50.55% ( 0.84) |
Both teams to score 47.46% ( 0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.33% ( 0.77) | 55.67% ( -0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.18% ( 0.63) | 76.82% ( -0.63) |
Congo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.91% ( -0.05) | 39.09% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.19% ( -0.05) | 75.81% ( 0.05) |
South Africa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.92% ( 0.69) | 22.08% ( -0.7) |