MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 09:54:40| >> :600:229311:229311:
Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Congo national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 19, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Alphonse Massamba-Debat
Uganda national football team

Congo
0 - 1
Uganda

FT(HT: 0-0)
Mutyaba (55')
Ssekiganda (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Congo and Uganda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Congo

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: South Sudan 3-2 Congo
Thursday, November 14 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Uganda

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Uganda 0-2 South Africa
Friday, November 15 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Congo 1-1 Uganda

 While Uganda have been the better team in this qualifying campaign, they are likely to make some changes to their starting XI, which might lower their level, and coupled with their poor history away at Congo, we think they might struggle to secure a win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 54.23%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Congo had a probability of 19.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.22%) and 1-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Congo win it was 1-0 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Uganda in this match.

Result
CongoDrawUganda
19.96% (0.238 0.24) 25.81% (0.116 0.12) 54.23% (-0.358 -0.36)
Both teams to score 43.67% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.59% (-0.154 -0.15)58.4% (0.15 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.99% (-0.122 -0.12)79% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Congo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.72% (0.175 0.17)44.27% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.65% (0.143 0.14)80.34% (-0.14699999999999 -0.15)
Uganda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.36% (-0.214 -0.21)21.64% (0.21 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.23% (-0.326 -0.33)54.76% (0.322 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Congo 19.96%
    Uganda 54.22%
    Draw 25.8%
CongoDrawUganda
1-0 @ 7.81% (0.083 0.08)
2-1 @ 4.87% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 3.18% (0.049 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.32% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.01% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 19.96%
1-1 @ 11.94% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.58% (0.055 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.73% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 14.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 11.22% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 9.14% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.73% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-3 @ 4.67% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-4 @ 2.19% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.79% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 54.22%

How you voted: Congo vs Uganda

Congo
35.0%
Draw
40.0%
Uganda
25.0%
20
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2024 5pm
Group Stage
Uganda
2-0
Congo
Kayondo (21'), Ssemugabi (85')
Omedi (60')

Passi (19')
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