Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 15, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade Municipal de Berkane
Gambia1 - 2Comoros
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gambia 1-0 Madagascar
Monday, October 14 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Monday, October 14 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Gambia | 3 | -5 | 0 |
We said: Gambia 1-1 Comoros
There was little to separate Gambia and Comoros in the first leg despite the number of chances created, and we believe that a similar outcome is likely at the final whistle on Friday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Comoros win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Gambia had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Comoros win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.68%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Gambia win was 1-0 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Comoros would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gambia | Draw | Comoros |
34.17% ( -0.56) | 28.77% ( -0.04) | 37.06% ( 0.6) |
| Both teams to score 45.46% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
