We said: Kenya 2-1 Namibia
With seven goals conceded apiece, the teams boast similar defensive numbers heading into this one, but Kenya have had the upper hand at the top end of the pitch, and we are backing them to carry the day.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Namibia win with a probability of 35.91%. A win for Kenya had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 31.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Namibia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.24%) and 1-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Kenya win was 1-0 (13.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood.