MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 10:52:56| >> :600:232807:232807:
Kenya national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 14, 2024 at 2pm UK
Mandela National Stadium
Cameroon national football team

Kenya
0 - 1
Cameroon


Abuya (26'), Otieno Omija (58'), Odada (76'), Otieno (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Enow (63')
Castelletto (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Kenya and Cameroon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Cameroon 4-1 Kenya
Friday, October 11 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Cameroon 4-1 Kenya
Friday, October 11 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Kenya 1-1 Cameroon

Cameroon will head into this one as favourites, but Kenya will be expected to put up a more robust challenge in front of their fans this time around.   We are backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 58.2%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Kenya had a probability of 15.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 0-1 with a probability of 18.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.69%) and 1-2 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.07%), while for a Kenya win it was 1-0 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 18.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cameroon in this match.

Result
KenyaDrawCameroon
15.02% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 26.78% (0.004999999999999 0) 58.2% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 33.96% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.27% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)66.73% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.92% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)85.08% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Kenya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.41% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)55.6% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.77% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)88.23% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Cameroon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.49% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)23.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.45% (-0.012 -0.01)57.55% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Kenya 15.02%
    Cameroon 58.19%
    Draw 26.77%
KenyaDrawCameroon
1-0 @ 7.67%
2-1 @ 3.26% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-0 @ 2.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 15.02%
0-0 @ 13.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-1 @ 11.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 18.92% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 13.69%
1-2 @ 8.04% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 6.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.88% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-4 @ 2.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.4% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 58.19%

How you voted: Kenya vs Cameroon

Kenya
18.5%
Draw
18.5%
Cameroon
63.0%
54
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2024 5pm
Group Stage
Cameroon
4-1
Kenya
Aboubakar (8' pen.), Hongla (39'), Mbeumo (43'), Bassogog (55')
Ndzie (74')
Olunga (41')
Nondi (30')
Mar 19, 2023 11pm
Jun 4, 2022 5pm
rhs 2.0
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