Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 15, 2024 at 4pm UK
Orlando Stadium
Zimbabwe1 - 1Kenya
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Zimbabwe 3-1 Namibia
Monday, October 14 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Monday, October 14 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Guinea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -1 | 3 |
We said: Zimbabwe 1-1 Kenya
Kenya were impressive in the first two rounds of this competition, and while they lost both matches last month, those were very tough fixtures against African giants Cameroon. There was nothing to split these two in the reverse fixture in Kampala, and with this match being played at a neutral venue as well, we feel that another stalemate could be on the cards. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 52.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 21.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.27%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 1-0 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Zimbabwe | Draw | Kenya |
21.85% ( 0.72) | 25.21% ( 0.62) | 52.94% ( -1.34) |
| Both teams to score 47.75% ( -0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
