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Madagascar national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 14, 2024 at 4pm UK
Loftus Versfeld Stadium
Tunisia national football team

Madagascar
vs.
Tunisia

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Madagascar and Tunisia.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Gambia 1-0 Madagascar
Monday, October 14 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Comoros 1-1 Tunisia
Tuesday, October 15 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Tunisia win with a probability of 56.86%. A draw has a probability of 26.1% and a win for Madagascar has a probability of 17.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win is 0-1 with a probability of 16.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (12.64%) and 1-2 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Madagascar win it is 1-0 (7.71%).

Result
MadagascarDrawTunisia
17.01% (-0.407 -0.41) 26.13% (-0.469 -0.47) 56.86% (0.872 0.87)
Both teams to score 38.57% (0.411 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.37% (0.932 0.93)62.63% (-0.936 -0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.8% (0.674 0.67)82.2% (-0.679 -0.68)
Madagascar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.64% (0.036999999999999 0.04)50.35% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.1% (0.028 0.03)84.9% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Tunisia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.69% (0.767 0.77)22.3% (-0.77 -0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.23% (1.141 1.14)55.77% (-1.144 -1.14)
Score Analysis
    Madagascar 17.01%
    Tunisia 56.85%
    Draw 26.13%
MadagascarDrawTunisia
1-0 @ 7.71% (-0.263 -0.26)
2-1 @ 3.97% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 2.64% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-1 @ 0.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 17.01%
1-1 @ 11.56% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 11.23% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-2 @ 2.98% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 16.85% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-2 @ 12.64% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 8.67% (0.104 0.1)
0-3 @ 6.32% (0.21 0.21)
1-3 @ 4.34% (0.149 0.15)
0-4 @ 2.37% (0.131 0.13)
1-4 @ 1.63% (0.091 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.49% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 56.85%

Head to Head
Sep 5, 2024 8pm
Group Stage
Tunisia
1-0
Madagascar
Sassi (90+8')
Ben Ouannes (76')

Amada (36'), Randrianantenaina (49'), Carolus Andriamatsinoro (82'), Patrick Laiton (90+2')
Jul 11, 2019 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Madagascar
0-3
Tunisia

Anicet (86')
Sassi (52'), Msakni (60'), Sliti (93')
rhs 2.0
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