Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 14, 2024 at 4pm UK
Loftus Versfeld Stadium
Madagascar2 - 3Tunisia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gambia 1-0 Madagascar
Monday, October 14 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Monday, October 14 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
We said: Madagascar 0-1 Tunisia
After two underwhelming performances against Comoros last month, Tunisia have brought in a new manager in Yaacoubi, who has wasted no time in shaking up the squad, and we feel that this new-look side should be able to get the job done against an opponent that are still winless in the competition. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 56.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 17.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.64%) and 1-2 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Madagascar win it was 1-0 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tunisia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Madagascar | Draw | Tunisia |
17.01% ( -0.41) | 26.13% ( -0.47) | 56.86% ( 0.87) |
| Both teams to score 38.57% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.37% ( 0.93) | 62.63% ( -0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.8% ( 0.67) | 82.2% ( -0.68) |
| Madagascar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.64% ( 0.04) | 50.35% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.1% ( 0.03) | 84.9% ( -0.03) |
| Tunisia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.69% ( 0.77) | 22.3% ( -0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.23% ( 1.14) | 55.77% ( -1.14) |
| Score Analysis |
Madagascar 17.01%
Tunisia 56.85%
Draw 26.13%
| Madagascar | Draw | Tunisia |
| 1-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.79% Total : 17.01% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.39)2-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.36% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 16.85% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 12.64% ( 0.14)1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 6.32% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 4.34% ( 0.15)0-4 @ 2.37% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.54% Total : 56.85% |
How you voted: Madagascar vs Tunisia
Madagascar
22.2%Draw
27.8%Tunisia
50.0%36
