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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Mauritania national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stade Cheikha Ould Boidiya
Cape Verde national football team

Mauritania
1 - 0
Cape Verde

Soueid (45+4')
Mouhsine (61'), Ngom (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Costa (34'), Pina (47'), Arcanjo (90+1'), Arcanjo (90+1')
Pina (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Mauritania and Cape Verde, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mauritania

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Botswana 1-1 Mauritania
Friday, November 15 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Cape Verde

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Cape Verde 1-1 Egypt
Friday, November 15 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Mauritania 1-2 Cape Verde

 With a place in Morocco next year potentially up for grabs, we expect Mauritania and Cape Verde to go all out at the Stade de la Capitale in search of maximum points. However, Bubista's side boast the firepower needed to get the job done and we are backing them to extend their dominance over the Lions of Chinguetti with a hard-fought victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Mauritania had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Mauritania win was 1-0 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
MauritaniaDrawCape Verde
32.88% (0.26 0.26) 28.57% (0.113 0.11) 38.54% (-0.38 -0.38)
Both teams to score 45.81% (-0.271 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.44% (-0.36 -0.36)60.55% (0.35299999999999 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.34% (-0.273 -0.27)80.66% (0.268 0.27)
Mauritania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.87% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)34.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)70.81%
Cape Verde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.54% (-0.40599999999999 -0.41)30.45% (0.4 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.34% (-0.484 -0.48)66.66% (0.47799999999999 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Mauritania 32.88%
    Cape Verde 38.53%
    Draw 28.56%
MauritaniaDrawCape Verde
1-0 @ 11.17% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 7.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.01% (0.079 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.15% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.52% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 32.88%
1-1 @ 13.28% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 10.38% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.56%
0-1 @ 12.35% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.9% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 7.35% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.13% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.91% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 38.53%

How you voted: Mauritania vs Cape Verde

Mauritania
18.8%
Draw
43.8%
Cape Verde
37.5%
16
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2024 8pm
Group Stage
Cape Verde
2-0
Mauritania
Mendes (28' pen., 75')
Pina (24'), Borges (42'), Andrade (90+1')

Fofana (4'), Mouhsine (36')
> Preview
Jan 29, 2024 5pm
Round of 16
Cape Verde
1-0
Mauritania
Mendes (88' pen.)
Pina (11')

Niasse (87')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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