MX23RW : Monday, March 24 10:17:22| >> :600:9351845:9351845:
Nigeria national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 18, 2024 at 4pm UK
Adokiye Amiesimaka Stadium
Rwanda national football team

Nigeria
1 - 2
Rwanda

Chukwueze (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ange (72'), Nshutiyamagara (75')
Bizimana (25'), Mugisha (29'), Nshutiyamagara (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Nigeria and Rwanda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Benin 1-1 Nigeria
Thursday, November 14 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Rwanda 0-1 Libya
Thursday, November 14 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Nigeria 1-0 Rwanda

Even though Nigeria have already secured its spot at AFCON 2025, we anticipate the Super Eagles will maintain their winning momentum and aim for a perfect record with a victory in Uyo. Rwanda's historic difficulty in achieving positive results on the road suggests that the Super Eagles, with the home advantage and a desire to continue their strong performance, should emerge victorious. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 57.59%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Rwanda had a probability of 16.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.04%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.7%), while for a Rwanda win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
NigeriaDrawRwanda
57.59% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 26.19% (0.012 0.01) 16.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 37.15% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.26% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)63.74% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)83% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.53% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)22.47% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.98% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)56.02% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Rwanda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.91% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)52.09% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.94% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)86.06% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Nigeria 57.58%
    Rwanda 16.22%
    Draw 26.18%
NigeriaDrawRwanda
1-0 @ 17.47% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 13.04%
2-1 @ 8.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.49% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 4.24% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 2.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 57.58%
0-0 @ 11.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-1 @ 11.39%
2-2 @ 2.78% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 7.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 2.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 16.22%

How you voted: Nigeria vs Rwanda

Nigeria
Draw
Rwanda
Nigeria
81.7%
Draw
11.7%
Rwanda
6.7%
60
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2024 2pm
Group Stage
Rwanda
0-0
Nigeria
Niyomugabo (26'), Bizimana (28')
Chukwueze (26'), Aina (45+3')
Jan 15, 2018 7.30pm
Group Stage
Nigeria
0-0
Rwanda
Mukunzi (32'), Djihad (93')
rhs 2.0
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