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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Nigeria national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 18, 2024 at 4pm UK
Adokiye Amiesimaka Stadium
Rwanda national football team

Nigeria
1 - 2
Rwanda

Chukwueze (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ange (72'), Nshutiyamagara (75')
Bizimana (25'), Mugisha (29'), Nshutiyamagara (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Nigeria and Rwanda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nigeria

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Benin 1-1 Nigeria
Thursday, November 14 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Rwanda

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Rwanda 0-1 Libya
Thursday, November 14 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Nigeria 1-0 Rwanda

 Even though Nigeria have already secured its spot at AFCON 2025, we anticipate the Super Eagles will maintain their winning momentum and aim for a perfect record with a victory in Uyo. Rwanda's historic difficulty in achieving positive results on the road suggests that the Super Eagles, with the home advantage and a desire to continue their strong performance, should emerge victorious. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 57.59%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Rwanda had a probability of 16.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.04%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.7%), while for a Rwanda win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
NigeriaDrawRwanda
57.59% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 26.19% (0.012 0.01) 16.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 37.15% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.26% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)63.74% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)83% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.53% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)22.47% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.98% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)56.02% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Rwanda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.91% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)52.09% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.94% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)86.06% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Nigeria 57.58%
    Rwanda 16.22%
    Draw 26.18%
NigeriaDrawRwanda
1-0 @ 17.47% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 13.04%
2-1 @ 8.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.49% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 4.24% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 2.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 57.58%
0-0 @ 11.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-1 @ 11.39%
2-2 @ 2.78% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 7.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 2.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 16.22%

How you voted: Nigeria vs Rwanda

Nigeria
81.7%
Draw
11.7%
Rwanda
6.7%
60
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2024 2pm
Group Stage
Rwanda
0-0
Nigeria
Niyomugabo (26'), Bizimana (28')
Chukwueze (26'), Aina (45+3')
> Preview
Jan 15, 2018 7.30pm
Group Stage
Nigeria
0-0
Rwanda
Mukunzi (32'), Djihad (93')
rhs 2.0
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1Liverpool18143145172845
2Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1911442619737
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4Chelsea19105438231535
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1995532211132
6Manchester CityMan City199463226631
7Bournemouth198652923630
8Fulham197842825329
9Aston Villa198562831-329
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton196942928127
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1973941281324
12Brentford187383232024
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham196582335-1223
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd196492126-522
15Crystal Palace194872027-720
16Everton183871524-917
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Ipswich TownIpswich1936101833-1515
19Leicester CityLeicester1935112242-2014
20Southampton1913151239-276
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