Africa Cup of Nations | Quarter-Finals
Jan 29, 2022 at 7pm UK
Burkina Faso1 - 0Tunisia
We said: Burkina Faso 1-2 Tunisia
After a shaky run in the group stages, Tunisia will head into the quarter-finals with renewed confidence following their victory over Nigeria. While we expect Burkina Faso to put up a fight, the North African boast a more experienced crop of players and we are tipping them to carry on the momentum from their performance against the Super Eagles and come out victorious on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 42.58%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 28.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.23%), while for a Tunisia win it was 0-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burkina Faso in this match.
| Result | ||
| Burkina Faso | Draw | Tunisia |
| 42.58% | 29.22% | 28.19% |
| Both teams to score 42.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
