Mali2 - 0South Africa
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, January 6 at 7pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Tunisia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Mali | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | South Africa | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Namibia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wednesday, January 10 at 1pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Tunisia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Mali | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | South Africa | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Namibia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Mali 2-1 South Africa
Despite their injury crisis, Mali have a very solid and experienced squad and will be backing themselves to continue their fine run of results. Les Aigles' have an impressive opening-day record at the Africa Cup of Nations and we fancy them to claim a narrow victory in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 70.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for South Africa had a probability of 9.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.96%) and 3-0 (10.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a South Africa win it was 0-1 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Mali in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Mali.
| Result | ||
| Mali | Draw | South Africa |
70.95% ( -0.05) | 19.23% ( 0.04) | 9.81% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 38.51% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.06% ( -0.12) | 51.94% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.31% ( -0.11) | 73.68% ( 0.11) |
| Mali Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.57% ( -0.05) | 13.43% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.61% ( -0.11) | 40.39% ( 0.11) |
| South Africa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.48% ( -0.05) | 55.52% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 11.81% ( -0.03) | 88.19% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mali | Draw | South Africa |
| 2-0 @ 15.02% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 14.96% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.16% Total : 70.93% | 1-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.37% Total : 19.23% | 0-1 @ 4.39% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.59% 0-2 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 1.54% Total : 9.81% |
