Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 18
May 28, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia
Barracas Central1 - 0San Lorenzo
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Barracas Central and San Lorenzo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Colon 1-1 Barracas Central
Sunday, May 21 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, May 21 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
16
Last Game: Fortaleza 3-2 San Lorenzo
Wednesday, May 24 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, May 24 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Goals
for
for
19
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 44.55%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 26.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.16%) and 1-2 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 1-0 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Barracas Central | Draw | San Lorenzo |
26.49% ( 2.59) | 28.96% ( -0.24) | 44.55% ( -2.35) |
Both teams to score 42.15% ( 2.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.21% ( 2.05) | 63.78% ( -2.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.97% ( 1.44) | 83.03% ( -1.44) |
Barracas Central Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.07% ( 3.59) | 40.93% ( -3.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.5% ( 3.06) | 77.49% ( -3.06) |
San Lorenzo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.36% ( -0.24) | 28.64% ( 0.24) |