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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 25
Dec 3, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Malvinas Argentinas

Independiente Rivadavia
2 - 1
Argentinos Jrs

Sequeira (7'), Ramis (30')
Ostchega (35'), Tonetto (45+2'), Villalba (90+2'), Darko Studer (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Lescano (43')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente Rivadavia and Argentinos Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Belgrano 0-2 Independiente Rivadavia
Tuesday, November 26 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 0-1 Barracas Central
Tuesday, November 26 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 41.57%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 28.59%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.5%) and 1-2 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.31%), while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it was 1-0 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Independiente RivadaviaDrawArgentinos Juniors
28.59% (-0.326 -0.33) 29.84% (-0.43 -0.43) 41.57% (0.752 0.75)
Both teams to score 41.12% (0.882 0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.36% (1.142 1.14)65.64% (-1.146 -1.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.66% (0.779 0.78)84.34% (-0.783 -0.78)
Independiente Rivadavia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.8% (0.384 0.38)40.2% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.16% (0.35 0.35)76.83% (-0.352 -0.35)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.77% (1.037 1.04)31.23% (-1.04 -1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.42% (1.189 1.19)67.58% (-1.191 -1.19)
Score Analysis
    Independiente Rivadavia 28.59%
    Argentinos Juniors 41.56%
    Draw 29.84%
Independiente RivadaviaDrawArgentinos Juniors
1-0 @ 11.44% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-1 @ 6.07% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.21% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-1 @ 1.84% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.58% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.07% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 28.59%
1-1 @ 13.31% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 12.55% (-0.54 -0.54)
2-2 @ 3.53% (0.124 0.12)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 29.84%
0-1 @ 14.61% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-2 @ 8.5% (0.125 0.13)
1-2 @ 7.75% (0.194 0.19)
0-3 @ 3.3% (0.14 0.14)
1-3 @ 3.01% (0.157 0.16)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.085 0.09)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 41.56%

Head to Head
Feb 20, 2024 10.30pm
Gameweek 6
Argentinos Jrs
2-1
Independiente Rivadavia
Romero (45'), Heredia (55')
Santamaria (13'), Palacio (46'), Meza (77'), Herrera (90+4')
Ramis (83')
Bianchi (66'), Castro (69'), Ham (90+6'), Maidana (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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