Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 25
Jul 18, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa
We said: Newell's Old Boys 1-2 Atletico Tucuman
Tucuman's recent form is difficult to ignore when picking a result here, and we have just about sided with the visitors on Monday. Newell's Old Boys will view this as a match which they should win, but the hosts have been inconsistent of late and could come up just short against their in-form opponents.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 51.27% . A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 19.92% .
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.57% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (8.04%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.41%) , while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (9.38%) . The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood .
Result Newell's Old Boys Draw Atletico Tucuman 51.27% ( -0.02) 28.81% ( 0.21) 19.92% ( -0.19)
Both teams to score 36.72% ( -0.66)
32.57% ( -0.72) 67.43% ( 0.72)
14.44% ( -0.48) 85.56% ( 0.48)
73.01% ( -0.35) 26.99% ( 0.35)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 37.66% ( -0.46) 62.34% ( 0.47)
50.29% ( -0.66) 49.71% ( 0.66)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 15.54% ( -0.47) 84.45% ( 0.47)
Newell's Old Boys 51.26%
Atletico Tucuman 19.92%
Draw 28.8%
Newell's Old Boys Draw Atletico Tucuman 1-0 @ 17.57% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.59% Total : 51.26% 0-0 @ 13.41% ( 0.35) 1-1 @ 12.28% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.3% Total : 28.8% 0-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.97% Total : 19.92%
How you voted: Newell's OB vs Tucuman
Newell's Old Boys
Draw
Atletico Tucuman
20
rhs 2.0
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