MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:33:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
Independiente
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 24
Jul 12, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Libertadores de America

Independiente
0 - 2
Newell's OB


Lopez (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ferreira (15'), Velazquez (72')
Martino (27'), Contrera (90+3')
Heinze (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Newell's Old Boys, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions
Last Game: Gimnasia 1-1 Independiente
Friday, July 7 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Newell's Old Boys

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: C. Cordoba 2-0 Newell's OB
Saturday, July 8 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Independiente 1-0 Newell's Old Boys

 Independiente have grown a lot since the arrival of Zielinski, showing more composure when in possession and limiting the giveaways we saw earlier this season. Before this week, Newell's had often done enough to earn points, but they have lacked that killer instinct in front of goal, which can often make the difference between winning and losing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 42.23%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 27.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.32%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
IndependienteDrawNewell's Old Boys
42.23% (0.237 0.24) 30.28% (-0.096999999999998 -0.1) 27.49% (-0.137 -0.14)
Both teams to score 39.58% (0.156 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.75% (0.226 0.23)67.25% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.57% (0.152 0.15)85.43% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.32% (0.255 0.25)31.68% (-0.254 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.9% (0.29 0.29)68.1% (-0.289 -0.29)
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.94% (0.012999999999998 0.01)42.06% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.51% (0.012999999999998 0.01)78.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Independiente 42.22%
    Newell's Old Boys 27.49%
    Draw 30.27%
IndependienteDrawNewell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 15.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.8% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.62% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.37% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.92% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.27% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 42.22%
0-0 @ 13.32% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-1 @ 13.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.3% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 30.27%
0-1 @ 11.54% (-0.090000000000002 -0.09)
1-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.95% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 27.49%

How you voted: Independiente vs Newell's OB

Independiente
66.7%
Draw
25.0%
Newell's Old Boys
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Sep 25, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 21
Independiente
1-0
Newell's OB
Benegas (62')
Oct 31, 2021 9pm
Second Phase
Newell's OB
1-0
Independiente
Alberto Bravo (90+4')
Campagnaro (9')
Campagnaro (72')

Manuel Insaurralde (90+3')
Mar 5, 2021 10.15pm
First Phase
Newell's OB
1-2
Independiente
Belluschi (75')
Perez (32'), Scocco (56'), Capasso (80'), Rodriguez (85')
Palacios (9'), Bustos (31')
Bustos (16'), Franco (54'), Sosa (90+5')
Dec 13, 2019 8.10pm
Gameweek 2
Independiente
2-3
Newell's OB
Dominguez (9'), Romero (45' pen.)
Sanchez (50'), Perez (69'), Romero (95'), Figal (95')
Gabrielli (38'), Fontanini (60'), Rodriguez (87')
Leal (10'), Gabrielli (74'), Rodriguez (95')
Aug 18, 2018 1am
Gameweek 2
Newell's OB
2-2
Independiente
Fertoli (15'), Fontanini (52')
Ferroni (59'), Rivero (85')
Amoroso (68')
Gigliotti (3', 43')
Sanchez Mino (20'), Silva (49'), Meza (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield23128335152044
2HuracanHuracan23119327151242
3Racing ClubRacing23124734221240
4River PlateRiver Plate2299430161436
5TalleresTalleres229942622436
6UnionUnion2310672422236
7Atletico TucumanTucuman2310672524136
8Boca Juniors239772823534
9Platense238961816233
10Instituto239592925432
11Deportivo Riestra238872424032
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2371062624231
13IndependienteIndependiente2261241914530
14BelgranoBelgrano227962725230
15GimnasiaGimnasia227872019129
16TigreTigre237882628-229
17Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2361072325-228
18San Lorenzo237791921-228
19Central CordobaC. Cordoba237792630-428
20LanusLanus2361072228-628
21Rosario CentralRosario236892423126
22Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2375111823-526
23Defensa y JusticiaDefensa236892431-726
24Independiente Rivadavia226791523-825
25BanfieldBanfield2357112029-922
26Sarmiento224991523-821
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2356121732-1521
28Barracas Central2237121029-1916
> Argentine Primera Division Full Table


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