Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 22
Nov 11, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Eva Peron de Junin
Sarmiento0 - 2Boca Juniors
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Sarmiento and Boca Juniors.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tucuman 1-0 Sarmiento
Monday, November 4 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, November 4 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
26
Last Game: Boca Juniors 4-1 Godoy Cruz
Wednesday, November 6 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Wednesday, November 6 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
51
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 38.79%. A draw had a probability of 31.4% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8%) and 1-2 (7.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.59%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 1-0 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.
Result | ||
Sarmiento | Draw | Boca Juniors |
29.8% ( -0.01) | 31.42% ( -0.14) | 38.79% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 37.92% ( 0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.29% ( 0.36) | 69.7% ( -0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
12.95% ( 0.23) | 87.04% ( -0.23) |
Sarmiento Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.43% ( 0.21) | 41.57% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.94% ( 0.18) | 78.06% ( -0.18) |
Boca Juniors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.9% ( 0.3) | 35.1% ( -0.3) |