Boca Juniors

2 - 0

Sarmiento

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 66.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 10.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.08%) and 3-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.67%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 16.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Boca Juniors.