MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 12:33:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 22
Jul 3, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Alberto Jose Armando
Sarmiento

Boca Juniors
2 - 0
Sarmiento

Merentiel (71'), Medina (84')
Varela (57'), Fernandez (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Garcia (29'), Mendez (57'), Hernandez (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Sarmiento, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sarmiento 4-1 Tucuman
Monday, June 26 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Boca Juniors 2-0 Sarmiento

While Boca Juniors have struggled to get going in the league, they will be backing themselves to see off a Sarmiento side who have failed to win their last five encounters. We predict that Almiron's men will pick up from where they dropped off against Monagas and claim all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 66.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 10.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.08%) and 3-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.67%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 16.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Boca Juniors.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawSarmiento
66.35% (0.128 0.13) 23.21% (-0.09 -0.09) 10.44% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 31.26% (0.087 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.34% (0.195 0.2)63.66% (-0.19 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.06% (0.14 0.14)82.94% (-0.136 -0.14)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81% (0.124 0.12)19.01% (-0.118 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.44% (0.202 0.2)50.56% (-0.196 -0.2)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
38.6% (0.051000000000002 0.05)61.4% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.65% (0.023999999999999 0.02)91.35% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 66.33%
    Sarmiento 10.44%
    Draw 23.21%
Boca JuniorsDrawSarmiento
1-0 @ 19.37% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 16.08%
3-0 @ 8.9% (0.038 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.85% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.34% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.7% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.8% (0.018 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.23% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.06% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 66.33%
0-0 @ 11.67% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-1 @ 9.45% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 1.91% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.21%
0-1 @ 5.69% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 2.31%
0-2 @ 1.39% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 10.44%

How you voted: Boca Juniors vs Sarmiento

Boca Juniors
76.9%
Draw
15.4%
Sarmiento
7.7%
13
Head to Head
Oct 12, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 25
Sarmiento
0-1
Boca Juniors
Langoni (45+1')
Nov 20, 2021 10.15pm
Second Phase
Boca Juniors
2-0
Sarmiento
Vasquez (25'), Fabra (47')
Mar 1, 2021 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield23128335152044
2HuracanHuracan23119327151242
3Racing ClubRacing23124734221240
4River PlateRiver Plate2299430161436
5TalleresTalleres229942622436
6UnionUnion2310672422236
7Atletico TucumanTucuman2310672524136
8Boca Juniors239772823534
9Platense238961816233
10Instituto239592925432
11Deportivo Riestra238872424032
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2371062624231
13IndependienteIndependiente2261241914530
14BelgranoBelgrano227962725230
15GimnasiaGimnasia227872019129
16TigreTigre237882628-229
17Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2361072325-228
18San Lorenzo237791921-228
19Central CordobaC. Cordoba237792630-428
20LanusLanus2361072228-628
21Rosario CentralRosario236892423126
22Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2375111823-526
23Defensa y JusticiaDefensa236892431-726
24Independiente Rivadavia226791523-825
25BanfieldBanfield2357112029-922
26Sarmiento224991523-821
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2356121732-1521
28Barracas Central2237121029-1916


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