Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Nov 20, 2021 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Alberto J. Armando
Boca Juniors2 - 0Sarmiento
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Boca Juniors and Sarmiento.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 60.48%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 15.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.23%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Sarmiento |
| 60.48% | 24.31% | 15.21% |
| Both teams to score 39.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
