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Brighton logo
Premier League | Gameweek 16
Dec 29, 2020 at 6pm UK
Falmer Stadium
Arsenal logo

Brighton
0 - 1
Arsenal


Dunk (59'), Jahanbakhsh (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lacazette (66')

Preview: Brighton & Hove Albion vs. Arsenal - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Arsenal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Arsenal will be aiming to build on their crucial victory over Chelsea when they travel to the South Coast to take on Brighton & Hove Albion in Tuesday's Premier League showdown.

In contrast, the hosts go into the game following a 2-2 draw with West Ham United in which Brighton were pegged back by the capital outfit twice on Sunday.


Match preview

Premier League manager Graham Potter pictured in November 2020© Reuters

Brighton & Hove Albion travelled to a high-flying West Ham United side hoping to end a five-game winless run in the top flight, with the Seagulls' position becoming more precarious by the week.

Graham Potter's men were unable to claim a much-needed victory as they played out a 2-2 draw with the Hammers on Sunday, with Neal Maupay and Lewis Dunk seeing goals cancelled out by Ben Johnson and Tomas Soucek respectively.

That point in the capital means that Brighton are still hovering just above the dotted line, but the Seagulls did manage to climb above Burnley into 16th after Sean Dyche's men fell short at Leeds United.

However, Burnley do have a game in hand over their fellow strugglers, with Brighton now playing out three consecutive draws following stalemates with relegation candidates Fulham and Sheffield United.

Brighton's underwhelming results this season have not been a true reflection of their performances, but after being pegged back twice against West Ham at the weekend, Potter's men cannot afford to feel sorry for themselves before welcoming Arsenal to the South Coast.

Granit Xhaka celebrates scoring for Arsenal against Chelsea in the Premier League on December 26, 2020© Reuters

Mikel Arteta's Arsenal had not won in seven Premier League matches before welcoming Chelsea to the Emirates on Boxing Day, and most fans expected that to become eight against a title-chasing Blues side.

However, Arsenal produced arguably their best performance of the season to run out 3-1 winners in that London derby, with Alexandre Lacazette, Granit Xhaka and Bukayo Saka all finding the back of the net while Tammy Abraham pulled one back for Chelsea.

The Blues were nowhere near their best, but Arsenal's young crop played Frank Lampard's men off the park in North London and claimed a vital three points to distance themselves from the danger zone, with the Gunners now six clear of the bottom three as they aim to mount a charge for the top half.

Having finally managed to turn their fortunes around at home, the Gunners will now be aiming to win their first away match in the Premier League since a 1-0 win over Manchester United on November 1, with Arteta's side losing their last two top-flight matches on the road to Tottenham Hotspur and Everton respectively.

However, Arsenal are yet to win a Premier League game at the Amex Stadium and suffered back-to-back 2-1 defeats to Brighton last season, with Maupay set to renew hostilities with the Gunners after his last-minute winner and fracas with Arteta's squad in June.

Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League form: DLLDDD

Arsenal Premier League form: LLLDLW
Arsenal form (all competitions): WLDLLW


Team News

Arsenal's Gabriel Magalhaes pictured in November 2020© Reuters

Brighton right-back Tariq Lamptey missed out the draw with the Hammers due to a hamstring issue, but Potter has reassured supporters that the highly-rated youngster's injury is not serious and he should be back soon.

Lamptey could come back in for Ben White on the right-hand side if he is deemed fit, while Davy Propper is in line for a recall to the midfield with only 48 hours for Brighton to recover.

Joel Veltman is also an option for Potter if Lamptey remains sidelined for the visit of Arteta's men, and Adam Lallana is also likely to miss out with a groin problem.

Meanwhile, Arsenal centre-back Gabriel Magalhaes will miss this game and the Gunners' trip to West Bromwich Albion after coming into close contact with someone who tested positive for coronavirus.

David Luiz and Willian are also ill but have both tested negative for COVID-19, while Thomas Partey will not recover in time for the journey to the South Coast either.

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang shook off a calf problem to make the bench against Chelsea and he is expected to be recalled here, while Nicolas Pepe could start on the opposite flank.

Brighton & Hove Albion possible starting lineup:
Sanchez; Webster, Dunk, Burn; Veltman, Bissouma, Propper, March; Maupay, Trossard; Welbeck

Arsenal possible starting lineup:
Leno; Bellerin, Holding, Mari, Tierney; Xhaka, Ceballos; Pepe, Smith Rowe, Aubameyang; Lacazette


SM words green background

We say: Brighton & Hove Albion 1-2 Arsenal

Brighton have become somewhat of a bogey team for Arsenal since the Seagulls earned promotion to the big time, but the Gunners ought to be full of confidence after a dominant win over Chelsea. In contrast, Brighton would have been frustrated to only take one point home from their showdown with West Ham, and with Arsenal having had an extra day off to recover, we can see Arteta's men ending their Amex hoodoo with a narrow win.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:curl



Video prediction

Watch the Sports Mole Football Shorts prediction for this game below:



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Arsenal in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Brighton vs Arsenal

Brighton & Hove Albion
13.8%
Draw
17.5%
Arsenal
68.6%
325
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1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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