Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 7
May 7, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stadyen Junatstva
Smorgon1 - 0Naftan
Nuradin (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kirilenko (77')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Smorgon and Naftan.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: BATE 2-0 Smorgon
Saturday, April 29 at 5pm in Belarusian Premier League
Saturday, April 29 at 5pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Naftan 0-3 Dinamo Brest
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Belarusian Premier League
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Belarusian Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Smorgon win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Naftan had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Smorgon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Naftan win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Smorgon in this match.
Result | ||
Smorgon | Draw | Naftan |
44.32% ( -0.2) | 24.99% ( 0.18) | 30.69% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 56.07% ( -0.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.89% ( -0.78) | 47.11% ( 0.79) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.65% ( -0.73) | 69.35% ( 0.74) |
Smorgon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.72% ( -0.41) | 21.29% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.78% ( -0.65) | 54.22% ( 0.66) |
Naftan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.23% ( -0.37) | 28.77% ( 0.38) |