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Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 7
May 7, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stadyen Junatstva

Smorgon
1 - 0
Naftan

Nuradin (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kirilenko (77')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Smorgon and Naftan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Smorgon

All competitions
Last Game: BATE 2-0 Smorgon
Saturday, April 29 at 5pm in Belarusian Premier League

Naftan

All competitions
Last Game: Naftan 0-3 Dinamo Brest
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Smorgon win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Naftan had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Smorgon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Naftan win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Smorgon in this match.

Result
SmorgonDrawNaftan
44.32% (-0.2 -0.2) 24.99% (0.183 0.18) 30.69% (0.026 0.03)
Both teams to score 56.07% (-0.596 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.89% (-0.784 -0.78)47.11% (0.794 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.65% (-0.734 -0.73)69.35% (0.744 0.74)
Smorgon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.72% (-0.414 -0.41)21.29% (0.423 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.78% (-0.65 -0.65)54.22% (0.659 0.66)
Naftan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.23% (-0.374 -0.37)28.77% (0.383 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.39% (-0.472 -0.47)64.61% (0.48099999999999 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Smorgon 44.32%
    Naftan 30.69%
    Draw 24.99%
SmorgonDrawNaftan
1-0 @ 9.47% (0.192 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.33% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.78% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 44.32%
1-1 @ 11.8% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.12% (0.201 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 7.63% (0.171 0.17)
1-2 @ 7.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.75% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.05% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.97% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 30.69%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Dinamo Minsk26196147103763
2Neman28194541192261
3Torpedo-BelAZTorpedo-BelAZ27167441202155
4Dinamo BrestDinamo Brest28146861342748
5Vitebsk28135103124744
6Gomel281110737271043
7BATE BorisovBATE28107113133-237
8SlutskSlutsk28106122540-1536
9IslochIsloch2898113229335
10Slavia MozyrSlavia Mozyr28810102831-334
11Arsenal Dzerzhinsk2897122836-834
12FC MinskFC Minsk28610122839-1128
13Smorgon27610112844-1628
14Naftan28410142644-1822
15Dnepr Mogilev2829172454-3015
16Shakhtyor SoligorskSoligorsk2857161842-242
> Belarusian Premier League Full Table


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