Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Neman had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Neman win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.