Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Vitebsk had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Vitebsk win was 1-0 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Torpedo-BelAZ in this match.