Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Beerschot Wilrijk had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Beerschot Wilrijk win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.