Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cercle Brugge win with a probability of 49.19%. A win for Royal Excel Mouscron had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cercle Brugge win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Royal Excel Mouscron win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.