Genk

4 - 1

Mouscron

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 68.56%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Royal Excel Mouscron had a probability of 12.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Royal Excel Mouscron win it was 0-1 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.