MX23RW : Monday, November 4 18:26:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
Bahia
Brasileiro | Gameweek 11
Jun 23, 2024 at 8pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Cruzeiro

Bahia
4 - 1
Cruzeiro

Thaciano (45+9'), Estupinan (78', 90+6'), Teixeira (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Veron (14')
Silva (45+2'), Veron (48'), Ramiro (90')
Marlon (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Cruzeiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Bahia
Friday, June 21 at 12am in Brasileiro

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Cruzeiro 2-0 Fluminense
Thursday, June 20 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

We said: Bahia 1-0 Cruzeiro

 Possessing a 100% record from home matches in the 2024 Brasileiro, Bahia should be supremely confident of getting back to winning ways on Sunday evening. Despite their positive start to the campaign, Cruzeiro have been unreliable on the road - failing to score in their last two away matches - and we feel that Raposa will endure more troubles on their travels this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 48.03%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 24.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Cruzeiro win it was 0-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.

Result
BahiaDrawCruzeiro
48.03% (0.265 0.27) 27.34% (-0.09 -0.09) 24.63% (-0.175 -0.18)
Both teams to score 44.87% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.39% (0.192 0.19)59.61% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.06% (0.148 0.15)79.94% (-0.148 -0.15)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.07% (0.214 0.21)24.93% (-0.215 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.44% (0.29499999999999 0.29)59.56% (-0.295 -0.3)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.77% (-0.052 -0.05)40.22% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.14% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)76.86% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 48.03%
    Cruzeiro 24.63%
    Draw 27.32%
BahiaDrawCruzeiro
1-0 @ 13.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.68% (0.048 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.81% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.48% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.08% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 48.03%
1-1 @ 12.68% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 10.02% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.01% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 27.32%
0-1 @ 9.13% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
1-2 @ 5.78% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.16% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 24.63%

How you voted: Bahia vs Cruzeiro

Bahia
60.0%
Draw
25.0%
Cruzeiro
15.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2023 12am
Gameweek 29
Cruzeiro
3-0
Bahia
Kanu (19' og.), Marlon (53'), Rodrigues (88')
Silva (27'), Machado (75')

Candido (63'), Oliveira Souza (90')
Jun 10, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 10
Bahia
2-2
Cruzeiro
Kayky (18'), Sales (66')
Kayky (19'), Rezende (27'), Carlos (51'), Kanu (68'), Fernandes (90+7')
Rodrigues (30'), Wesley (45+1')
Wallisson (64')
> Preview
Nov 3, 2019 10pm
Gameweek 30
Cruzeiro
1-1
Bahia
Sassa (74')
Manuel Orejuela (45'), Fred (73'), Henrique (82')
Manuel Orejuela (64')
Fernandao (66' pen.)
Jul 20, 2019 9pm
Bahia
0-0
Cruzeiro
Arthur (35'), Ezequiel (56')
Arthur (42')
Caca (80')
Dec 2, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 38
Bahia
0-0
Cruzeiro
Elton (45'), Flavio (70'), Grolli (83'), Henrique (85')
Manoel (28')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo31197549262364
2PalmeirasPalmeiras31187653252861
3FortalezaFortaleza32179644321260
4FlamengoFlamengo31167850371355
5InternacionalInternacional311411642281453
6Sao Paulo31156104233951
7Bahia31137114237546
8Cruzeiro31128113633344
9Vasco da GamaVasco31127123643-743
10Atletico Mineiro30101194245-341
11Gremio32116153841-339
12Vitoria32115163746-938
13Fluminense32107152834-637
14CriciumaCriciuma31910123844-637
15Corinthians31811123540-535
16BragantinoBragantino32811133440-635
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR3197153339-634
18JuventudeJuventude32810143851-1334
19Cuiaba32610162541-1628
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3157192350-2722
> Brasileiro Full Table


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