MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 18:58:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
Sao Paulo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 7
Jun 2, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Cruzeiro

Sao Paulo
2 - 0
Cruzeiro

Moura (5'), Calleri (48')
Zubeldia (14'), Franco (45+8'), Alisson (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Barreal (13'), Bruno (63')
Marlon (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Cruzeiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-0 Talleres
Thursday, May 30 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Cruzeiro 1-0 U. Catolica
Friday, May 31 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Sao Paulo 1-0 Cruzeiro

 Under new management, both these sides are enjoying an excellent run of form and could end this weekend in the top four. However, Sao Paulo's home record this season is hard to overlook, and while Cruzeiro are unbeaten in their last three away games, they were fairly unconvincing when they played Atletico Mineiro, who have been their toughest away opponent so far this term. As a result, while we are expecting a very close contest here, we feel the hosts will be able to edge the result by a slender one-goal margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 47.43%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 25.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Cruzeiro win it was 0-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao PauloDrawCruzeiro
47.43% (-0.49 -0.49) 27.41% (0.122 0.12) 25.16% (0.369 0.37)
Both teams to score 45.12% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.48% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)59.52% (0.172 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.13% (-0.132 -0.13)79.87% (0.133 0.13)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.82% (-0.31100000000001 -0.31)25.18% (0.313 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.1% (-0.432 -0.43)59.9% (0.433 0.43)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.3% (0.238 0.24)39.69% (-0.237 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.63% (0.22 0.22)76.37% (-0.21900000000001 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 47.42%
    Cruzeiro 25.16%
    Draw 27.41%
Sao PauloDrawCruzeiro
1-0 @ 13.78% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.51% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.37% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.04% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.045 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 47.42%
1-1 @ 12.73% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.99% (0.065 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 9.23% (0.119 0.12)
1-2 @ 5.88% (0.061 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.27% (0.082 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.81% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 25.16%

How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro

Sao Paulo
54.5%
Draw
27.3%
Cruzeiro
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 31
Sao Paulo
1-0
Cruzeiro
Luciano (84')
Beraldo (72')

William (49'), Paixao (56'), Elias (74')
Paixao (56')
Jun 25, 2023 1am
Gameweek 12
Cruzeiro
1-0
Sao Paulo
Rafinha (3' og.)
Dourado (90+3')

Nestor (74'), Rodriguinho (81'), David (88')
> Preview
Oct 17, 2019 1am
Gameweek 26
Cruzeiro
1-0
Sao Paulo
Neves (58')
Fred (53'), David (67')

Reinaldo (53'), Alves (94')
Jun 2, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 7
Sao Paulo
1-1
Cruzeiro
Pato (15')
Tche (48'), Calazans (81')
Vinicius (94')
Neves (68')
Robinho (45'), Neves (53'), Cabral (65')
Nov 18, 2018 9pm
Gameweek 35
Sao Paulo
1-0
Cruzeiro
Souza (31')
Reinaldo (17'), Alves (86')

Robinho (42'), Mendes (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
6Sao Paulo381781353431059
7Corinthians381511125445956
8Bahia38158154949053
9Cruzeiro381410144341252
10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030
> Brasileiro Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!