Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 62.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 15.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bahia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bahia.
0.15) 
-0.07) 
