Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Recife win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Juventude had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sport Recife win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Juventude win was 1-0 (11.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.