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Copa Libertadores WWW header

Copa Libertadores
Sao Paulo
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 17, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Barcelona SC (Ecuador)

Sao Paulo
0 - 0
Barcelona


Vinicius (55')
FT

Sosa (89'), Burrai (90+3'), Solano (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Libertadores clash between Sao Paulo and Barcelona SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-1 Fluminense
Tuesday, May 14 at 12am in Brasileiro

Barcelona SC

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Talleres 3-1 Barcelona
Wednesday, May 8 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

We said: Sao Paulo 2-0 Barcelona SC

 Despite Calleri's potential absence, Sao Paulo's momentum under new management and their keenness to potentially keep pace with Talleres at the top of Group B should see the hosts secure maximum points against a Barcelona side that have hitherto conceded two goals a game while averaging just a goal per game heading into matchday five. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 66.21%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 14.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Barcelona SC win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Sao PauloDrawBarcelona SC
66.21% (-0.383 -0.38) 19.43% (0.241 0.24) 14.37% (0.142 0.14)
Both teams to score 51.8% (-0.462 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.25% (-0.796 -0.8)41.75% (0.795 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.85% (-0.806 -0.81)64.15% (0.806 0.81)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.25% (-0.334 -0.33)11.75% (0.334 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.08% (-0.721 -0.72)36.92% (0.72 0.72)
Barcelona SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.69% (-0.30099999999999 -0.3)41.3% (0.299 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.17% (-0.265 -0.27)77.82% (0.264 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 66.2%
    Barcelona SC 14.37%
    Draw 19.43%
Sao PauloDrawBarcelona SC
2-0 @ 11.12% (0.1 0.1)
1-0 @ 10.39% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.94% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.02% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
4-0 @ 4.25% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.76% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.063 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.82% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.057 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.61% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 66.2%
1-1 @ 9.19% (0.132 0.13)
0-0 @ 4.85% (0.172 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 19.43%
0-1 @ 4.29% (0.118 0.12)
1-2 @ 4.06% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.9% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 14.37%

How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Barcelona

Sao Paulo
91.7%
Draw
0.0%
Barcelona SC
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2024 1am
Group Stage
Barcelona
0-2
Sao Paulo

Vargas (45+1')
Calleri (17'), Alisson (64')
Zubeldia (16')
rhs 2.0
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