Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Sport Recife had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.21%) and 1-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Sport Recife win was 1-0 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.