Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 51.05%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 22.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.