We said: Augsburg 1-1 FC Koln
Both sides would benefit greatly from a win to ease any doubts with relegation still on their minds, but neither have shown the cutting edge needed to be victorious in recent weeks.
While Augsburg are the masters of letting winning positions slip, Koln are the most prolific side at coming from behind, having taken a league-high 12 points from losing positions in the Bundesliga this season.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.