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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 54.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 21.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a FC Koln win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | FC Koln |
54.47% ( -1.39) | 23.64% ( 0.21) | 21.89% ( 1.18) |
Both teams to score 52.47% ( 1.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.9% ( 0.51) | 48.1% ( -0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.74% ( 0.47) | 70.26% ( -0.47) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.45% ( -0.32) | 17.55% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.91% ( -0.55) | 48.08% ( 0.55) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.64% ( 1.46) | 36.36% ( -1.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.86% ( 1.45) | 73.14% ( -1.45) |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | FC Koln |
1-0 @ 11.1% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.66% ( -0.41) 3-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.64% Total : 54.47% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.63% | 0-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.8% Total : 21.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 48 | 13 | 35 | 39 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 35 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 30 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 30 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | Freiburg | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 27 |
7 | Stuttgart | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 26 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 25 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 24 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 24 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 13 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 6 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |