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Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Mar 4, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Koln logo

Union Berlin
0 - 0
FC Koln


Siebatcheu (90+2')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Koln 0-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, February 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 2-0 FC Koln

In addition to suffering two straight losses, FC Koln have failed to score in four of their previous five outings, putting Union Berlin in pole position to claim all three points on Saturday. Given that last weekend's defeat was Union's first since November, the Irons Ones should return to winning ways on home soil, keeping a clean sheet in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 54.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 21.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a FC Koln win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Union BerlinDrawFC Koln
54.47% (-1.386 -1.39) 23.64% (0.205 0.21) 21.89% (1.178 1.18)
Both teams to score 52.47% (1.01 1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.9% (0.51300000000001 0.51)48.1% (-0.516 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.74% (0.471 0.47)70.26% (-0.47499999999999 -0.47)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.45% (-0.31699999999999 -0.32)17.55% (0.315 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.91% (-0.554 -0.55)48.08% (0.55 0.55)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.64% (1.461 1.46)36.36% (-1.464 -1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.86% (1.45 1.45)73.14% (-1.452 -1.45)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 54.47%
    FC Koln 21.89%
    Draw 23.63%
Union BerlinDrawFC Koln
1-0 @ 11.1% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.66% (-0.41 -0.41)
3-1 @ 5.67% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.6% (-0.301 -0.3)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.077 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.47% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.44% (-0.158 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 54.47%
1-1 @ 11.23% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.38% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.182 0.18)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.63%
0-1 @ 6.46% (0.118 0.12)
1-2 @ 5.68% (0.265 0.27)
0-2 @ 3.27% (0.185 0.19)
1-3 @ 1.92% (0.161 0.16)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.124 0.12)
0-3 @ 1.1% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 21.89%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs FC Koln

Union Berlin
87.7%
Draw
5.5%
FC Koln
6.8%
73
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2022 2.30pm
Apr 1, 2022 7.30pm
Union Berlin
1-0
FC Koln
Awoniyi (49')
Jaeckel (5'), Becker (42'), Trimmel (55')

Ehizibue (13'), Hubers (62'), Thielmann (75')
Nov 7, 2021 4.30pm
FC Koln
2-2
Union Berlin
Modeste (7', 86')
Modeste (17'), Duda (54')
Ryerson (9'), Promel (45+1')
Baumgartl (16'), Luthe (18')
Mar 13, 2021 2.30pm
Union Berlin
2-1
FC Koln
Kruse (48' pen.), Trimmel (67')
Musa (32'), Andrich (88')
Duda (45+2' pen.)
Horn (11'), Ozcan (81'), Skhiri (85')
Nov 22, 2020 5pm
FC Koln
1-2
Union Berlin
Skhiri (36')
Duda (31')
Awoniyi (27'), Kruse (72')
Ingvartsen (35'), Giesselmann (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern16123148133539
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen16105140231735
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1693436231330
4RB Leipzig169342822630
5Mainz 05Mainz1684430201028
6Freiburg168352426-227
7Stuttgart167543025526
8Borussia DortmundDortmund167453025525
9Werder Bremen167452829-125
10Wolfsburg167363328524
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach167362521424
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin164571421-717
13Augsburg164481733-1616
14St Pauli1642101220-814
15Hoffenheim163582029-914
16Heidenheim1641112033-1313
17Holstein Kiel1622122141-208
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1613121337-246


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