MX23RW : Wednesday, May 22 02:20:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga desktop header

Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
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Bayern
5 - 3
Augsburg

Cancelo (15'), Pavard (18', 35'), Sane (45'), Davies (74')
de Ligt (59'), Cancelo (85')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Berisha (2', 60' pen.), Cardona (90+3')
Pedersen (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 2-0 PSG
Wednesday, March 8 at 8pm in Champions League

Augsburg

All competitions
Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, March 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 3-0 Augsburg

 We expect Bayern to cruise to a comfortable victory against one of their local rivals Augsburg, whose away form has been wretched for most of the current campaign. However, with this being the reigning champions' third match within six days, Nagelsmann may ask his players to take their foot off the gas ahead of travelling to Bayer Leverkusen next weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 88.63%. A draw had a probability of 7.5% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 3.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.19%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (1.24%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawAugsburg
88.63% (-0.80799999999999 -0.81) 7.5% (0.506 0.51) 3.86% (0.299 0.3)
Both teams to score 52.71% (-0.318 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
82.73% (-1.319 -1.32)17.26% (1.317 1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
65.91% (-2.011 -2.01)34.08% (2.009 2.01)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.6% (-0.26899999999999 -0.27)2.39% (0.267 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
88.66% (-1.015 -1.02)11.33% (1.012 1.01)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54% (-0.17599999999999 -0.18)45.99% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.28% (-0.138 -0.14)81.71% (0.136 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 88.63%
    Augsburg 3.86%
    Draw 7.5%
Bayern MunichDrawAugsburg
3-0 @ 9.54% (0.268 0.27)
4-0 @ 8.9% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.67% (0.443 0.44)
3-1 @ 7.41% (0.172 0.17)
4-1 @ 6.91% (-0.052 -0.05)
5-0 @ 6.64% (-0.229 -0.23)
2-1 @ 5.96% (0.318 0.32)
5-1 @ 5.16% (-0.204 -0.2)
6-0 @ 4.13% (-0.278 -0.28)
1-0 @ 4.11% (0.357 0.36)
6-1 @ 3.21% (-0.232 -0.23)
3-2 @ 2.88% (0.054 0.05)
4-2 @ 2.69% (-0.034 -0.03)
7-0 @ 2.2% (-0.223 -0.22)
5-2 @ 2% (-0.089 -0.09)
7-1 @ 1.71% (-0.182 -0.18)
6-2 @ 1.25% (-0.097 -0.1)
8-0 @ 1.03% (-0.139 -0.14)
Other @ 5.23%
Total : 88.63%
1-1 @ 3.19% (0.262 0.26)
2-2 @ 2.31% (0.112 0.11)
0-0 @ 1.1% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 7.5%
1-2 @ 1.24% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 3.86%

How you voted: Bayern vs Augsburg

Bayern Munich
85.7%
Draw
8.2%
Augsburg
6.1%
49
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2022 7.45pm
Second Round
Augsburg
2-5
Bayern
Pedersen (9'), Upamecano (65' og.)
Pedersen (78')
Maxim Choupo-Moting (27', 59'), Kimmich (53'), Musiala (74'), Davies (90+1')
Sep 17, 2022 2.30pm
Augsburg
1-0
Bayern
Berisha (59')
Berisha (31')
Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm
Bayern
1-0
Augsburg
Lewandowski (82' pen.)
Kouassi (68')

Oxford (36'), Weinzierl (80'), Dorsch (90+2')
Nov 19, 2021 7.30pm
Augsburg
2-1
Bayern
Pedersen (23'), Hahn (36')
Hahn (45'), Framberger (79'), Weinzierl (90+1')
Lewandowski (38')
Hernandez (45+1')
May 22, 2021 2.30pm
Bayern
5-2
Augsburg
Gouweleeuw (9' og.), Gnabry (23'), Kimmich (33'), Coman (43'), Lewandowski (90')
Hernandez (83')
Hahn (67'), Niederlechner (72')
Suchy (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34286089246590
2Stuttgart34234778393973
3Bayern MunichBayern34233894454972
4RB Leipzig34198777393865
5Borussia DortmundDortmund34189768432563
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34111495150147
7Hoffenheim34137146666046
8Heidenheim341012125055-542
9Werder Bremen34119144854-642
10Freiburg34119144558-1342
11Augsburg34109155060-1039
12Wolfsburg34107174156-1537
13Mainz 05Mainz34714133951-1235
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34713145667-1134
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3496193358-2533
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum34712154274-3233
RFC Koln34512172860-3227
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3438233086-5617
> Bundesliga Full Table


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