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Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Feb 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Leverkusen logo

Hoffenheim
1 - 3
B. Leverkusen

Nsoki (77')
Geiger (28'), Brooks (36'), Akpoguma (50')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Andrich (6'), Diaby (46'), Hlozek (56')
Frimpong (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VfL Bochum 5-2 Hoffenheim
Saturday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 2-2 Bayer Leverkusen

Buoyed by the arrival of a new manager, the Hoffenheim players are bound to up their game in order to impress Matarazzo, but they could struggle to claim all three points on Saturday. Although Bayer Leverkusen have lost each of their last two Bundesliga matches, they have won five of their previous seven, meaning that they will confident of avoiding defeat at the PreZero Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawBayer Leverkusen
45.22% (0.074000000000005 0.07) 23.81% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 30.97% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 60.31% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.39% (0.052 0.05)41.61% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.98% (0.051000000000002 0.05)64.01% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.35% (0.051999999999992 0.05)18.65% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.03% (0.088000000000001 0.09)49.97% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.14% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)25.86% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.16% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)60.84% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 45.22%
    Bayer Leverkusen 30.97%
    Draw 23.81%
HoffenheimDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.8% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.15% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.48% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.16% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 45.22%
1-1 @ 10.95% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.82% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.81%
1-2 @ 7.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.52% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.41% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.8%
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 30.97%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs B. Leverkusen

Hoffenheim
25.6%
Draw
30.2%
Bayer Leverkusen
44.2%
43
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen
0-3
Hoffenheim

Diaby (56')
Baumgartner (9'), Kramaric (35'), Rutter (78')
Kabak (57'), Rutter (74'), Angelino (83'), Akpoguma (86')
May 7, 2022 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
2-4
B. Leverkusen
Rutter (22'), Baumgartner (36')
Dabour (66')
Schick (34', 76'), Diaby (73'), Alario (90+1')
Dec 15, 2021 7.30pm
B. Leverkusen
2-2
Hoffenheim
Schick (37', 63')
Diaby (21'), Odilon (60'), Tapsoba (85'), Hincapie (86')
Diaby (90+2')
Stiller (80'), Dabour (83')
Rudy (21'), Raum (28'), Dabour (88')
Dec 13, 2020 5pm
B. Leverkusen
4-1
Hoffenheim
Bailey (4', 27'), Wirtz (55'), Alario (90+1' pen.)
Diaby (31'), Sinkgraven (35'), Amiri (74')
Baumgartner (50')
Grillitsch (38'), Posch (58'), Vogt (74'), Nordtveit (90+1')
Grillitsch (64'), Posch (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern129303782930
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1282231161526
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen126512819923
4RB Leipzig126331914521
5Borussia DortmundDortmund126242319420
6Freiburg126241616020
7Mainz 05Mainz125432014619
8Wolfsburg125342519618
9Stuttgart124532321217
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach125251817117
11Union BerlinUnion Berlin124441011-116
12Werder Bremen124441924-516
13Augsburg124351423-915
14Hoffenheim123361724-712
15St Pauli123271015-511
16Heidenheim123181524-910
17Holstein Kiel121291331-185
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1202101033-232


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