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Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Feb 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Leverkusen logo

Hoffenheim
1 - 3
B. Leverkusen

Nsoki (77')
Geiger (28'), Brooks (36'), Akpoguma (50')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Andrich (6'), Diaby (46'), Hlozek (56')
Frimpong (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VfL Bochum 5-2 Hoffenheim
Saturday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 2-2 Bayer Leverkusen

Buoyed by the arrival of a new manager, the Hoffenheim players are bound to up their game in order to impress Matarazzo, but they could struggle to claim all three points on Saturday. Although Bayer Leverkusen have lost each of their last two Bundesliga matches, they have won five of their previous seven, meaning that they will confident of avoiding defeat at the PreZero Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawBayer Leverkusen
45.22% (0.074000000000005 0.07) 23.81% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 30.97% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 60.31% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.39% (0.052 0.05)41.61% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.98% (0.051000000000002 0.05)64.01% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.35% (0.051999999999992 0.05)18.65% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.03% (0.088000000000001 0.09)49.97% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.14% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)25.86% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.16% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)60.84% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 45.22%
    Bayer Leverkusen 30.97%
    Draw 23.81%
HoffenheimDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.8% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.15% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.48% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.16% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 45.22%
1-1 @ 10.95% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.82% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.81%
1-2 @ 7.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.52% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.41% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.8%
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 30.97%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs B. Leverkusen

Hoffenheim
25.6%
Draw
30.2%
Bayer Leverkusen
44.2%
43
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen
0-3
Hoffenheim

Diaby (56')
Baumgartner (9'), Kramaric (35'), Rutter (78')
Kabak (57'), Rutter (74'), Angelino (83'), Akpoguma (86')
May 7, 2022 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
2-4
B. Leverkusen
Rutter (22'), Baumgartner (36')
Dabour (66')
Schick (34', 76'), Diaby (73'), Alario (90+1')
Dec 15, 2021 7.30pm
B. Leverkusen
2-2
Hoffenheim
Schick (37', 63')
Diaby (21'), Odilon (60'), Tapsoba (85'), Hincapie (86')
Diaby (90+2')
Stiller (80'), Dabour (83')
Rudy (21'), Raum (28'), Dabour (88')
Dec 13, 2020 5pm
B. Leverkusen
4-1
Hoffenheim
Bailey (4', 27'), Wirtz (55'), Alario (90+1' pen.)
Diaby (31'), Sinkgraven (35'), Amiri (74')
Baumgartner (50')
Grillitsch (38'), Posch (58'), Vogt (74'), Nordtveit (90+1')
Grillitsch (64'), Posch (79')
rhs 2.0
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Eagles
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern16123148133539
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen16105140231735
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1693436231330
4RB Leipzig169342822630
5Mainz 05Mainz1684430201028
6Freiburg168352426-227
7Stuttgart167543025526
8Borussia DortmundDortmund167453025525
9Werder Bremen167452829-125
10Wolfsburg167363328524
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach167362521424
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin164571421-717
13Augsburg164481733-1616
14St Pauli1642101220-814
15Hoffenheim163582029-914
16Heidenheim1641112033-1313
17Holstein Kiel1622122141-208
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1613121337-246


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