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Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Borussia Monchengladbach logo

Bayern
3 - 1
Borussia M'bach

Pavlovic (45'), Kane (70'), de Ligt (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Elvedi (35')
Neuhaus (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Augsburg 2-3 Bayern
Saturday, January 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 2-1 Borussia Monchengladbach

Aside from their surprise defeat at home to Werder Bremen earlier this month, Bayern Munich have been almost perfect at the Allianz Arena this season and they will be regarded as favourites to come out on top in front of their own supporters this weekend. Borussia Monchengladbach are no pushovers, though, and have enjoyed recent success against the Bavarians, but Tuchel's title hopefuls should ultimately find a way to get the job done, even though they are missing a few key players through injury. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 86.68%. A draw had a probability of 8.4% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 4.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (7.83%) and 3-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.32%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (1.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
86.68% (1.989 1.99) 8.39% (-1.167 -1.17) 4.93% (-0.816 -0.82)
Both teams to score 58.03% (0.748 0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
83.88% (2.786 2.79)16.12% (-2.779 -2.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
67.66% (4.163 4.16)32.34% (-4.157 -4.16)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.55% (0.65900000000001 0.66)2.45% (-0.6529 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
88.47% (2.349 2.35)11.52% (-2.343 -2.34)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.48% (0.371 0.37)40.51% (-0.366 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.88% (0.333 0.33)77.12% (-0.32799999999999 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 86.68%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 4.93%
    Draw 8.39%
Bayern MunichDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
3-0 @ 8.44% (-0.415 -0.41)
4-0 @ 7.83% (0.14 0.14)
3-1 @ 7.63% (-0.295 -0.3)
4-1 @ 7.07% (0.195 0.2)
2-0 @ 6.82% (-0.823 -0.82)
2-1 @ 6.17% (-0.674 -0.67)
5-0 @ 5.81% (0.468 0.47)
5-1 @ 5.25% (0.47 0.47)
1-0 @ 3.68% (-0.724 -0.72)
6-0 @ 3.59% (0.5 0.5)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.098 -0.1)
6-1 @ 3.25% (0.479 0.48)
4-2 @ 3.2% (0.119 0.12)
5-2 @ 2.37% (0.234 0.23)
7-0 @ 1.91% (0.37 0.37)
7-1 @ 1.72% (0.348 0.35)
6-2 @ 1.47% (0.23 0.23)
4-3 @ 0.96% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 6.08%
Total : 86.68%
1-1 @ 3.32% (-0.615 -0.62)
2-2 @ 2.79% (-0.274 -0.27)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 0.99% (-0.276 -0.28)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 8.39%
1-2 @ 1.5% (-0.26 -0.26)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 4.93%

How you voted: Bayern vs Borussia M'bach

Bayern Munich
83.9%
Draw
6.5%
Borussia Monchengladbach
9.7%
62
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Borussia M'bach
1-2
Bayern
Itakura (30')
Sane (58'), Tel (87')
Mazraoui (22'), Coman (60')
Feb 18, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Borussia M'bach
3-2
Bayern
Stindl (13'), Hofmann (55'), Thuram (84')
Maxim Choupo-Moting (35'), Tel (90+3')
Aug 27, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Bayern
1-1
Borussia M'bach
Sane (83')
Kimmich (63'), Sabitzer (64'), Sane (80'), Nagelsmann (81'), Pavard (90+5')
Thuram (43')
Plea (37'), Kramer (90+5')
Jan 7, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 18
Bayern
1-2
Borussia M'bach
Neuhaus (27'), Lainer (31')
Stindl (78')
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Borussia M'bach
5-0
Bayern
Kone (2'), Bensebaini (15', 21' pen.), Embolo (51', 57')
Zakaria (79')

Upamecano (46')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226


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