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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 86.68%. A draw had a probability of 8.4% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 4.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (7.83%) and 3-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.32%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (1.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
86.68% ( 1.99) | 8.39% ( -1.17) | 4.93% ( -0.82) |
Both teams to score 58.03% ( 0.75) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
83.88% ( 2.79) | 16.12% ( -2.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
67.66% ( 4.16) | 32.34% ( -4.16) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.55% ( 0.66) | 2.45% ( -0.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
88.47% ( 2.35) | 11.52% ( -2.34) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.48% ( 0.37) | 40.51% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.88% ( 0.33) | 77.12% ( -0.33) |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
3-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.41) 4-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.3) 4-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.82) 2-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.67) 5-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.47) 5-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.47) 1-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.72) 6-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.5) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.1) 6-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.48) 4-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.12) 5-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.23) 7-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.37) 7-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.35) 6-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.23) 4-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.04) Other @ 6.08% Total : 86.68% | 1-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.62) 2-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.27) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.28) Other @ 0.25% Total : 8.39% | 1-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.26) Other @ 3.43% Total : 4.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 37 | 8 | 29 | 30 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 26 |
3 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 23 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 21 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Freiburg | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 18 |
9 | Stuttgart | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 17 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 17 |
11 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 16 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Augsburg | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 12 |
15 | St Pauli | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 31 | -18 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 33 | -23 | 2 |
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