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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Jan 24, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
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Bayern
1 - 0
Union Berlin

Guerreiro (46')
Sane (74'), Kane (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Behrens (48'), Haberer (90+5'), Vogt (90+5'), Leite (90+5')
Bjelica (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 0-1 Werder Bremen
Sunday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Union Berlin

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 0-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, January 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 Union Berlin

 Despite firing blanks on Wednesday, Bayern should return to winning ways in the league against Union, stopping the Iron Ones' two-game run in all competitions without losing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 81.33%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 6.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.62%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-2 (2.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawUnion Berlin
81.33% (0.028999999999996 0.03) 12.07% (-0.016 -0.02) 6.6% (-0.011 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.17% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.33% (0.025999999999996 0.03)29.66% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.21% (0.030000000000001 0.03)50.78% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.49% (0.010999999999996 0.01)5.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.54% (0.027999999999992 0.03)21.46% (-0.026 -0.03)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.04% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)47.96% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.79% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)83.2% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 81.31%
    Union Berlin 6.6%
    Draw 12.07%
Bayern MunichDrawUnion Berlin
2-0 @ 11.09%
3-0 @ 10.72%
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.88%
4-0 @ 7.78% (0.008 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.71% (0.0020000000000007 0)
5-0 @ 4.51% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
5-1 @ 3.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-0 @ 2.18% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 2.1%
6-1 @ 1.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 1.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
7-0 @ 0.9% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 81.31%
1-1 @ 5.62% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3% (-0.004 -0)
0-0 @ 2.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 12.07%
1-2 @ 2.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 1.94% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 6.6%

How you voted: Bayern vs Union Berlin

Bayern Munich
81.5%
Draw
10.5%
Union Berlin
8.1%
124
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 22
Bayern
3-0
Union Berlin
Maxim Choupo-Moting (31'), Coman (40'), Musiala (45+1')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Union Berlin
1-1
Bayern
Becker (12')
Khedira (87')
Kimmich (15')
Kimmich (26'), Gravenberch (72')
> Preview
Mar 19, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 27
Bayern
4-0
Union Berlin
Coman (16'), Kouassi (25'), Lewandowski (45+1' pen., 47')
Musiala (51'), Kouassi (74')

Baumgartl (39')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Union Berlin
2-5
Bayern
Giesselmann (43'), Ryerson (65')
Jaeckel (15')
Lewandowski (15' pen., 23'), Sane (35'), Coman (61'), Muller (79')
Sule (30')
> Preview
Apr 10, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Bayern
1-1
Union Berlin
Musiala (68')
Sarr (76'), Kouassi (83')
Ingvartsen (86')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig31195773353862
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Freiburg31117134355-1240
8Augsburg31109124852-439
9Hoffenheim31116145563-839
10Heidenheim31910124452-837
11Werder Bremen31107144150-937
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31711135360-732
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3186172650-2430
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln31411162454-3023
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3138203073-4317
> Bundesliga Full Table


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