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Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 27, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
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Augsburg
2 - 3
Bayern

Demirovic (52', 90+4' pen.)
Mbabu (19'), Iago (69')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Pavlovic (23'), Davies (45+5'), Kane (58')
de Ligt (6'), Pavlovic (67'), Sane (80'), Guerreiro (90+6'), Goretzka (90+7'), Neuer (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-2 Augsburg
Sunday, January 21 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 1-0 Union Berlin
Wednesday, January 24 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Augsburg 1-2 Bayern Munich

 Augsburg's recent home record against Bayern bodes well ahead of Saturday's contest, but their 21-game run without keeping a clean sheet is a cause for concern when coming up against a Bavarian outfit who have scored in each of their last 21 Bundesliga away games. The hosts have the ability to frustrate Bayern, but Tuchel's men will likely dominate proceedings at the WWK Arena and should have few problems outscoring their opponents en route to another important victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.97%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 13.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.14%) and 1-3 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.87%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
AugsburgDrawBayern Munich
13.76% (0.078000000000001 0.08) 16.27% (0.038 0.04) 69.97% (-0.114 -0.11)
Both teams to score 62.44% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.45% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.55% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.82% (0.0010000000000048 0)48.18% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.22% (0.10300000000001 0.1)32.79% (-0.10100000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.65% (0.115 0.12)69.35% (-0.11099999999999 -0.11)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.9% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)7.1% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.11% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)25.89% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 13.76%
    Bayern Munich 69.97%
    Draw 16.27%
AugsburgDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 3.83% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 2.6% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.45% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.42% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 13.76%
1-1 @ 6.87% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.017 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.33%
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 16.27%
1-2 @ 9.08% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.14% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 8.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 7.18% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.16% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 5.29% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 4.75% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
2-3 @ 4.46% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.95% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-5 @ 2.8% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-5 @ 2.51% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-5 @ 1.56%
1-6 @ 1.23% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-6 @ 1.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 69.97%

How you voted: Augsburg vs Bayern

Augsburg
22.7%
Draw
17.3%
Bayern Munich
60.0%
75
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Bayern
3-1
Augsburg
Uduokhai (32' og.), Kane (40' pen., 69')
Gravenberch (83')
Beljo (86')
Rexhbecaj (56'), Cardona (79')
> Preview
Mar 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 24
Bayern
5-3
Augsburg
Cancelo (15'), Pavard (18', 35'), Sane (45'), Davies (74')
Berisha (2', 60'), Cardona (90+3')
> Preview
Oct 19, 2022 7.45pm
Second Round
Augsburg
2-5
Bayern
Pedersen (9'), Upamecano (65' og.)
Maxim Choupo-Moting (27', 59'), Kimmich (53'), Musiala (74'), Davies (90+1')
> Preview
Sep 17, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Augsburg
1-0
Bayern
Berisha (59')
> Preview
Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 29
Bayern
1-0
Augsburg
Lewandowski (82' pen.)
Kouassi (68')

Oxford (36'), Weinzierl (80'), Dorsch (90+2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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